Research

QuotedData’s Investment Companies Roundup – September 2022

Investment Companies Monthly Roundup

Kindly sponsored by Baillie Gifford and abrdn

Performance

August may have been a quiet month in terms of investment company news, but markets have certainly been noisy with fears that we’re heading into a recession (or may already be in one) on top of everyone’s minds. At the start of the month investors were upbeat, believing that enough had already been done to tackle inflation in the US, but a speech by the chairman of the Federal Reserve put paid to that. India was back among the top performers in August despite geopolitical tensions and an interest rate hike. The country’s stock market had another good month, with the Nifty 50 registering gains of 3.5%. Meanwhile, the Vietnam-heavy country specialist sector also performed well, as the reopening of the country early this year brought with it the revival of the tourism sector. Infrastructure securities and environmental funds were also among the winners, but the overall top performers were insurance and reinsurance strategies funds. On the other hand, China/Greater China funds continued to suffer as COVID flare-ups, power rationing amid the worst heatwaves in decades, and the embattled property sector increased the pressure. Certain sectors in Europe were also hit, perhaps a reaction to the ECB’s decision to increase rates further. Meanwhile, growth capital trusts remain out of favour, the sector took a significant hit from underperformance by Chrysalis and Seraphim Space (see Appendix 1 for a breakdown of how all the sectors have performed so far this year).

August’s median total share price return was 0.4% (the average was 0.4%) which compares with a median of 3.6% in July. Readers interested in recent briefings from the industry can click here to access our economic and political roundup.

Best performing sectors over August

Worst performing sectors over August

On the positive side

August saw a mix of winners in the investment company world, with no obvious trends to speak of, although a weak pound did have an impact. Nonetheless, Geiger Counter was the best performer in NAV terms (and second best in share price terms). Amidst all the noise around energy, nuclear is firmly back on the agenda for many western European governments. Takeover bids in the biotech sector may be helping Biotech Growth, as businesses take advantage of relatively low valuations in the sector. As already mentioned, India and Vietnam had a good month which is reflected in the NAV performance of trusts invested in these areas including India Capital Growth, Vietnam Enterprise and VietNam Holding. Meanwhile, in share price terms, Schiehallion was the best performer, delivering an impressive 25%. Somehow, the trust has managed to power through the anti-growth sentiment unlike most of its peers. Macau Property Opportunities succeeded in selling off more of its portfolio. Gulf Investment continues to flourish as strong oil prices help those economies. Axiom European Financial Debt announced plans to wind up. Independent Investment Trust had a good month after it was announced it would be merging into Baillie Gifford’s Monks Investment Trust. The decision came after the retirement of Independent’s long-term manager, Max Ward, and we think that this is an elegant solution and one that will likely be welcomed by shareholders.

On the negative side

On the negative side, Rights and Issues saw its NAV fall by almost 10% and its share price by 12.5% over August. Its long-term manager Simon Knott announced his retirement in June and officially stepped down on 1 September. But it seems this wasn’t the only reason for the trust’s underperformance as a big chunk of the sector – including abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth, abrdn Smaller Companies Income, Montanaro UK Smaller Companies, BlackRock Smaller Companies and Henderson Smaller Companies – also saw their NAVs suffer in August. The UK has had a lot to juggle this summer with the Conservative leadership election, record heatwaves and an increasingly worrying cost-of-living crisis heightened by the announcement of painful energy price caps. In share price terms, the growth capital sector (Chrysalis and Seraphim Space) and European property (Globalworth Real Estate, Phoenix Spree Deutschland and Tritax EuroBox) struggled in August.

Discounts and premiums

More expensive and cheaper relative to NAV

Schiehallion has been all over the place this year, with its absurdly high premium (60%) coming back down to reality before finally swinging to a discount of 1% by the end of June. It looks as though the pendulum has gone back the other way, however, as the trust ended August trading on a premium of 15%. Independent Investment Trust, Axiom European Financial and the small cap sell-off that hit funds such as Aberforth Split Level Income were discussed above. After seeing its discount widen during the previous month, Jupiter Green saw a slight narrowing over August though it remains on a double-digit discount.

Seraphim Space, which has suffered from a widening discount in recent months, bounced back in July but that appears now to have been only temporary as it ended August on a 41% discount. Fellow growth capital peer Chrysalis announced a sharp fall in its NAV, which seemed to unnerve investors. Tritax Big Box suffered a double whammy for not only becoming cheaper in August but also for being downgraded by several brokers. Logistics-focused funds have struggled since Amazon said it was abandoning plans for new warehouses. Big Box’s European counterpart Tritax EuroBox also saw its discount widen over the month.

Money in and out

Money coming in and going out

Only £144m of net new money was raised over the month, reinforcing the idea of August traditionally being a quiet month.

Capital Gering, Personal Assets and Ruffer grew while Pantheon Infrastructure expanded as another tranche of its subscription shares was exercised. Ecofin Global Utilities expanded as its NAV continued to climb.

Share buybacks were led by Scottish Mortgage, Monks, Pershing Square, Finsbury Growth & Income and Witan.

Major news stories over August

Portfolio developments

Corporate news

Managers and fees

Property news

QuotedData views

Recently published research notes

Temple Bar – Time to shine

It is coming up to two years since Redwheel (formerly RWC Partners) took over management responsibility for Temple Bar (TMPL), and performance figures show that the change has proven to be a good decision for the trust. Of course, the change in investor appetite from growth to value-style investing has helped it along its way, but the willingness of the managers – Ian Lance and Nick Purves – to go against the trend (by buying cyclical businesses at the lows, for example) shows the importance of stock-picking too. The managers say that valuations are a measure of appetite for risk, and that on that score we are back down to the lowest levels we have seen for about the past 25 years. In times like this (as seen during the global financial crisis, for example), they say, it pays to take on more risk.

JPMorgan Multi-Asset Growth & Income – Navigating a changed landscape

Measures being taken to tackle inflation are weighing on markets. Reflecting this, JPMorgan Multi-Asset Growth & Income (MATE) has also been affected, with falls in its net asset value (NAV) and share price. However, living up to its objective (see below), these falls have not been as severe as those of global equity markets. In the current environment, MATE’s policy of growing its dividend at least in line with inflation should be attractive to investors. The managers have repositioned the portfolio to reflect the changed circumstances. They are looking for signs that the worst is priced in and markets are braced to recover, and will look to take advantage of this when the time is right.

Gulf Investment Fund – Much more than just oil & gas

Gulf Investment Fund (GIF) has built up an attractive track record of both absolute performance and outperformance of its index benchmark. For example, as we show on page 18, GIF outperforms competing open-ended funds over most time periods. Recent higher energy prices have bolstered sentiment toward the countries that comprise the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) – see below. Their governments are using the revenue windfall to fund vast infrastructure projects aimed at diversifying their economies. We think that this helps underpin the long-term case for an investment in the region and the fund. GIF is unique within the investment company universe and offers exposure to an increasingly important region. Notwithstanding its impressive track record, institutional investors have taken advantage of stringent discount control mechanisms and have shrunk the company. The board would like to see it re-expand and we agree.

North American Income Trust – Next generation dividend hero

After a few difficult years, the North American Income Trust (NAIT) has plenty to feel good about in 2022. It has enjoyed a turnaround in performance as its value style of investing has come back in favour. As we discuss on page 4, investors have been rotating away from growth stocks on the back of inflation fears. Acknowledging these fears, NAIT’s manager, Fran Radano, is confident that the trust can provide an income stream that should outpace US inflation. Meanwhile, the trust, which has been run in its current form since 2012, achieved ‘next generation dividend hero’ status this year (a commendation awarded by the Association of Investment Companies), as it has managed to increase its dividend every year for 10 consecutive years. It has also built up sufficient revenue reserves to cover more than a full year’s dividend at current rates.

Events

Here is a selection of what is coming up. Please refer to the Events section of our website for updates between now and when they are scheduled:

Interviews

Have you been listening to our weekly news round-up shows? Every Friday at 11 am we run through the more interesting bits of the week’s news and we usually have a special guest or two answering questions about a particular investment company.

Friday The news show Special Guest Topic
4 February AEET, TEEC Sebastian Lyon Personal Assets
11 February THRG, SEC, TFIF, UKML Richard Aston CC Japan Income & Growth
18 February CSH, HONY, NESF, TRIG, SUPR Carlos Hardenberg Mobius
25 February BSIF, CRS, DGI9, JEFI Ian Francis New City High Yield
4 March JRS, MCKS Thomas Moore Aberdeen Standard Equity Income
11 March ATT, JEFI, SGEM James Harries Securities Trust of Scotland
18 March FEET, RAV, TRIG Tom Moore & Henrik Dahlström Downing Renewables & Infrastructure
25 March GRP, ANII, IGC, RKW Blake Hutchins Troy Income & Growth
1 April FJV, ORIT, PSH Ian Lance Temple Bar
8 April GRID, HGEN, INPP, SUPR Yoojeong Oh abrdn Asian Income
22 April AEET, NESF, PHLL Viktor Szabó abrdn Latin American Income
29 April NBPE, VEIL Robert Guest Foresight Sustainable Forestry
6 May APAX, EPG, UKW, WKOF, WTAN, ACIC Gary Moglione Momentum Multi-Asset Value Trust
13 May BSIF, CAPC, RNEW, JLEN, LXI, SIR, SHB Richard Sem Pantheon Infrastructure
20 May HGEN, SMT James Thom Aberdeen New Dawn
27 May BSIF, UKW, GRID, HOME Paul Bridge Civitas Social Housing
10 June CHI, RII Craig Martin Vietnam Holding
17 June BGHS, LTI, MTU Laura Elkin AEW UK REIT
24 June TI1, TEEC, SHED Pedro Gonzalez de Cosio BioPharma Credit
1 July AIE, CHRY Andrew Beal Schroder BSC Social Impact
8 July DGI9, HICL, SONG, IHR, ORIT, RHM David Conlon & Joanne Fisk GCP Asset-Backed Income
22 July HDIV, PCT Philip Kent GCP Infrastructure
29 July RNEW, JRS, SSIT Stuart Widdowson Odyssean Investment Trust
5 August FEET, JLEN Kamal Warraich Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management
12 August BPCR, IIT, MKNS, TI1 David Smith Henderson High Income
19 August AXI BSIF Fiona Yang Invesco Asia
26 August DGI9, RWK, SHED Nick Brind Polar Capital Global Financials
2 September SDCL, TI1 Tim Levine Augmentum Fintech
  Coming up
9 September AJOT Joe Bauernfreund AVI Japan Opportunity
16 September ATST Stuart Gray Alliance Trust
23 September BEMO Matthias Siller Baring Emerging EMEA Opportunities

Guide

Our Independent Guide to quoted investment companies is an invaluable tool for anyone who wants to brush up on their knowledge of the investment companies’ sector.

Appendix – August 2022 median performance by sector

This note was prepared by Marten & Co (which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority).

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September 2022 Investment Companies Monthly Roundup

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