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LMS Capital take 3% NAV hit due to Dacian restructuring

LMS Capital (LMS) has announced changes to the governance and financial structure of its investment in the Romanian oil and gas production company, Dacian Petroleum (Dacian), that led to a £1.3m fall in its NAV, equivalent to 3.1% of its most recently announced NAV as at 31 March 2024. This follows a challenging 2023 financial year for the company (click here to read more). Under the proposed transaction, LMS’s existing interest in senior loan notes in Dacian, along with the interests of co-investors (the “original investor group”), will convert into equity in Dacian with preferential distribution rights (the “Equity Swap”). Certain members of the original investor group, including two of LMS’s directors although not LMS itself will provide a bridging loan of US$1m to Dacian for one year on an unsecured basis. LMS is not participating in the bridging loan as this would breach its investment restrictions – see below.

The bridging loan comes with an entitlement to an equity subscription of 5% of Dacian’s issued share capital, at nominal value. The original investor group will have increased board representation rights and will be able to appoint a majority of the Dacian board. The bridging loan will take effect immediately but the equity swap, the entitlement of the Bridge Lenders to subscribe for equity and the changes to the board rights, remain subject to regulatory clearances in Romania. LMS Capital’s chair, Jamie Wilson, says “The early period of operations at Dacian has been more challenging than anticipated, but we continue to believe that the company will generate returns for its investors and that the changes agreed will put the company on a sound footing to take advantage of the opportunities open to it.”

Dacian’s production levels have been below expectations but LMS’s board considers the prospects for Dacian to be positive in the medium term. It says that the current cashflow projections for Dacian underpinning the restructuring have been rebased on the production levels currently being achieved and Dacian has also identified cost efficiencies which can be made over the short term which are not expected to impact its maintenance programme or production. Dacian is expected to be able to repay the Bridge Loan during 2025. Beyond 2025, it is expected that Dacian will be sufficiently cash generative to pay dividends to its investors. The board adds that Dacian’s estate offers opportunities in alternative energy related uses and, while these are still at a relatively early stage, it is optimistic about the potential additional benefit that this could bring.

Background to the transaction

The original investor group, which was led by LMS, invested in Dacian in 2020. LMS, through its wholly owned subsidiaries, invested US$9.1m as part of a US$14.0m financing by way of senior loan notes with a coupon of 14% per annum on a compounding basis, and an equity subscription at nominal value giving the company an equity stake of 32.3%. in Dacian. The original investor group in total held 50% of the equity and the founding team held 50%. The original investor group comprises the company, certain third parties and three of the company’s directors, being Robert Rayne, Jamie Wilson and Nick Friedlos, with the investment in 2020 having been made in accordance with the LMS’s published co-investment policy. Until 12 July 2024 the board of Dacian comprised two of LMS’s directors, Robert Rayne and Nick Friedlos, and three Dacian Founders. Effective 12 July 2024, one of the founders resigned to be replaced by Jamie Wilson, the chairman of LMS.

Dacian operations impacted by significant engineering issue

As previously announced in the company’s 2023 annual report and accounts, Dacian experienced a significant engineering issue in 2023 which impacted gas production levels materially and postponed planned production enhancement projects. Due to this, Dacian has continued to experience lower than target production levels through 2024 and as such, revenues achieved by Dacian in 2023 and so far in 2024 have been significantly below expectations.

Dacian’s financial position

Dacian currently services third-party debt, which was put in place in 2020, with payments to the third party of approximately US$300,000 per month. The amount currently outstanding is US$1.3m, which will be fully repaid by late November 2024, following which Dacian’s free cashflow is expected to increase significantly. The original amount of the debt was US$6m. Dacian is also meeting its obligations under the recently imposed Romanian Solidarity tax of some $100,000 per month payable until April 2025.

Whilst Dacian has been continuing to meet its financial obligations notwithstanding its lower revenues, LMS says that it has become clear that Dacian would benefit from additional financing in the interim period to ensure it has sufficient working capital. In addition, as it currently stands, due to the total value of the senior loan notes as at 30 June 2024 (with interest compounded) being US$22.1m, Dacian’s capital structure is in a deficit position which, under Romanian law should be rectified.

Following consideration of a number of options, it has been concluded that the best route forward for Dacian and for all of the original investor group (including the company) is for additional financing of US$1m by way of a bridge loan to be made and for the existing senior loan notes to convert into equity in Dacian (the “Equity Swap”).

The Restructuring

Pursuant to the above, it has been agreed that the bridge loan of US$1m be made available to Dacian by certain members of the original investor group. All founders and members of the original investor group were offered the opportunity to participate in the bridge loan pari passu to their equity holding and LMS is not participating due to its investment in Dacian already exceeding 15% of its NAV (there a restriction in the LMS’s investment policy that no investment should represent greater than 15% of the company’s NAV measured at the time of investment). Three of the Original Investor Group, including Robert Rayne and Jamie Wilson who are directors of the company plus one of the founders are participating (together the “Bridge Lenders”).

The Bridge Loan will have an interest rate of 14% per annum and shall be repayable in 12 months from drawdown. As part of the restructuring, the bridge lenders will also be granted an entitlement to subscribe for equity representing 5% of Dacian’s share capital, as diluted by the Equity Swap, at a subscription price of 10 RON per share (approximately £1.70 per share) being equal to the nominal value of Dacian Shares. The original investment was priced on the same basis. Pending completion of the Equity Swap set out below, the senior loan notes will be subordinated to the bridge loan. The bridge lenders will have the right to require immediate repayment if the Equity swap is not completed by 31 December 2024.

The Equity Swap

In conjunction with the Bridge Loan, it has been agreed that the original investment be restructured such that all of the original investor group convert the senior loan notes into equity in Dacian on the same terms. The purpose of this is to correct the deficiency in Dacian’s net assets under Romanian law and to strengthen the company’s balance sheet. Following the Restructuring and taking account of the Equity Swap and the equity subscription by the bridge lenders, the original investor group will own 82.5% of Dacian (LMS’ holding will be 53.3%), the Bridge Lenders will hold 5% and the Founders 12.5%.

Under the terms of the Equity Swap, the original investor group will have preferential dividend distribution rights in Dacian, in respect of all of the shares held by them, such that all dividends will be payable in proportion 95% to the original investor group and 5% to the founders and the bridge lenders.

With respect to the shares held by the founders, the preferential distribution rights in favour of the original investor group and bridge lenders will continue to apply until the earlier of (i) receipt by the original investor group of an amount equal to the full amount of principal and compounding interest that would have been due had the Senior Loan Notes continued to their original maturity date; or (ii) Dacian secures an alternative energy project, which could have a material favourable impact on the value of Dacian. LMS says that the Equity Swap will see Dacian’s founders materially diluted and, to incentivise the management team going forward, the Dacian Board intends to issue additional equity to management. While the terms are yet to be agreed, LMS says that these would require appropriate performance thresholds to have been met before any such shares acquired material value.

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