CATCo takes another big write down on 2017 NAV – Markel CATCo Investment Management Ltd., is to increase the specific loss reserves held by CATCo Reinsurance Opportunities in relation to the ordinary shares for loss events in 2017.
The impact of the increase is estimated to be approximately 19.5% of the 31 March 2018 ordinary share NAV. This represents approximately a 14% deterioration in the ordinary share 2017 annual performance and is equivalent to a 2017 NAV return on the ordinary shares of approximately -41.4% (down from the -27.6% reported at year-end).
Main problem is Irma
Following the 2017 Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, Maria and the California Wildfires, the manager has continued to monitor the ongoing uncertainty related to these loss events.
Recent market information has indicated that industry loss estimates are expected to rise for Hurricane Irma following reports of significant increases in loss adjustment expenses, late claims reporting and an increase to loss exposures in the Caribbean.
In addition, in late April 2018, a number of reinsurance counterparties reported increases to their ultimate loss exposures related to Hurricane Irma, reinforcing the Manager’s belief that industry loss estimates for this event will increase. As a result, the manager has concluded that material increases in the 2017 specific loss reserves are required, mainly attributable to Hurricane Irma.
Alissa Fredricks, CEO Bermuda, of Markel CATCo Investment Management Ltd. said: “Following the impact of the 2017 loss events, we have maintained extensive monitoring of industry trends and the inherent uncertainty with regards to counterparty ultimate loss exposures. Until very recently, all trends were in line with expectations, providing evidence that the 2017 loss reserves would likely be sufficient to support our remaining loss exposures. However, in late April, we received updated notifications from our reinsurance counterparties indicating a material loss creep in Irma could occur. This further supports market information suggesting that abnormal levels of loss adjustment expenses and late claims have resulted in further deterioration in Irma losses, which has become the consequence of multiple catastrophic events occurring in a short period of time.
As a result of the information received in late April, we believe an increase in the Company’s loss reserves is appropriate in order to mitigate any further loss creep in Irma and to reduce the Company’s potential exposure to other 2017 loss events.”
The manager expects the next report of industry loss estimates for Hurricane Harvey and Irma will be released at the end of May 2018. The manager continues to believe that some level of uncertainty remains with regards to the final industry insured loss impact of the 2017 loss events.
CATCo intends to report the 30 April 2018 NAV for the ordinary shares and C shares in mid-May.
CAT : CATCo takes another big write down on 2017 NAV